John Elfed

I've been trading Forex for 6 years consistently profitable. I've been through all the emotions associated with trading and my quest is to share my knowledge in the hope it can help others.

Weekly review

Writing a review for the week starting Monday 17 February is a bit like trying to put a 1000 piece jigsaw puzzle together... here is my attempt. The week began in a mildly positive fashion, with the S&P hovering near all time highs, the VIX remaining below 16

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Mid-week thoughts.

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The week ahead

Monday may be a quiet day due to presidents day. That's not to say don't trade. But with the S&P closed it will be difficult to truly gauge the risk environment, plus liquidity will be low during the US session, so any trades may

Understanding Forex correlations.

A big part of my trading strategy is understanding the correlations currencies have with the risk environment and each other. Very often, the overall ‘risk environment’ dominates market movement. And the mood is classed as either ‘risk on’ (positive) ‘risk off’ (negative)... or neutral. When sentiment is strong in a

Weekly review

The week starting Monday 10 February began with a 'USD strength opening gap' and my initial thought was 'here we go again', more tariff chaos. But the 'gap' filled and the chaos didn't materialise. Although the market was tentatively waiting for news,

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Wednesday 12 February: psychology lesson / unpacking the day.

Tuesday 11 February. Tentatively risk on

Weekly review.

The week starting Monday 3 February began with a flurry of tariff news, which caused 'risk off' sentiment. Similar to the previous Monday's sell-off caused by the 'deepseek' news, the negativity didn't last too long. Although it was a bumpy ride with

Friday 7 February

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How to accept losing trades.

Whilst we await the outcome of the 'Trump / Xi phone call', here is a little something I wrote regarding acceptance of losing trades. In all honesty, it probably won't tell you anything you don't already know, but you might just take something from it.

Two down, one to go?

To tariff or not to tariff?

Weekly review

I began the week starting Monday 27 January optimistic we might get a 'risk on' environment. But that optimism was immediately blown out of the water as news of an emerging AI company 'deepseek' caused concern for S&P 500 tech companies, NVIDIA in particular

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Thursday 30 January: little bit of limbo.

There has been a lot of information to take in this week. And currently, I find myself in a little bit of limbo in terms of having confidence in the direction of the currencies. Risk sentiment stabilised following the Deepseek led tech selloff, but the 'risk currencies' didn&

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